Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy). Roger M. Cooke

Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy)



Download Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy)



Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics and Science Policy) Roger M. Cooke ebook pdf
Publisher:
Language: English
Page: 336
ISBN: 0195064658, 9780195064650

Review


[An] excellent volume....No one...has systematically and methodically addressed how subjective probabilities ought to be used in estimating and evaluating societal risks. This is the accomplishment of the Cooke volume."--Risk


"Displays the state of the art in the techniques of using expert opinion for estimating contingencies that cannot be assessed directly....To be warmly welcomed as a contribution to a discussion which is by no means ended."--New Scientist


"The strengths of the book are its comprehensive examination of the contemporary practice and use of expert opinion, and its detailed case studies as illustrations. Its style is clear and the exposition of ideas well organized and thoroughly and intelligently presented."--Choice


"The book is the first to provide an account of this novel field and provides an admirable survey of many ideas emerging therein." --Mathematical Reviews


"A very useful, readable survey of the economic, statistical, psychological, and mathematical considerations that arise in using expert opinion. It will be excellent background reading for my students."--A. Paltiel, Harvard School of Public Health


About the Author

Roger M. Cooke is at Delft University of Technology.



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